Market Outlook Fixed Income – Anurag Mittal, UTI Mutual fund, release date 11th June 2024

Anurag Mittal discusses his views and insights on the fixed income market, which include the outcomes of the June MPC meeting, GDP growth forecasts, bond markets, and inflation dynamics.

  • Global Trends
    • Global economy resilient with strong rebound in manufacturing and services PMI.
    • Commodity prices rising, but not yet inflationary.
    • Inflation moderated from peak but sticky service inflation. Expect moderate cuts.
  • Indian Trends
    • RBI kept repo rate unchanged at 6.5% and policy stance of withdrawal of accommodation
    • RBI upped GDP growth for FY 25 to 7.2% with inflation remaining at of 4.5%.
    • RBI’s high dividend payout positively impacting fiscal consolidation.
    • Inflation well-behaved, allowing room for potential rate cuts.
    • Liquidity to improve going forward post elections with increased government spent.
  • Investment outlook
    • Recommended focus on moderate duration fixed income products for balanced risk.
  • Risks
    • Slower pickup in private capex and consumption growth may impact adversely

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