Summary
On 06-Apr-2026, Sahil Kapoor (Head – Products & Market Strategist, DSP Mutual Fund) shifts to a constructive equity stance as valuations normalize, sentiment weakens, and flows reverse. While macro risks (oil, flows) persist, improving large-cap valuations and mean reversion dynamics support calibrated equity allocation.
Key Takeaways
- Valuations have corrected to near/below long-term averages; large caps now offer relative comfort versus mid/small caps.
- Market conditions (drawdown, weak breadth, elevated VIX) indicate capitulation-driven opportunities, not structural deterioration.
- `Equity stance upgraded to moderate-favor incremental allocation, not aggressive positioning.
- Sectoral opportunities: private banks, IT, select FMCG, telecom, insurance driven by valuation resets.
- FII flows likely to follow market recovery; undervalued INR improves future foreign investor attractiveness.
- Oil remains the key macro risk; sustained >$120 could disrupt macros, but current pricing not yet a full shock
Fundyantra Insight
Markets rarely signal comfort at inflection points-current pessimism, not fundamentals, is the primary barrier to allocation
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